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3 Prop Bet Options for Patriots-Falcons

By STEVEN SCHWARZ

Three props for tonight’s game between the Patriots and Falcons, using SISBets.com to help us out. We’re trying to improve on our 8-12 season record and our putting our faith in these numbers.

1)  Matt Ryan, over 21.5 completions, -110.

It’s been a year of adjustments for the veteran Falcons’ quarterback, Matt Ryan, who lost Julio Jones to the Titans in an off-season trade and new No. 1 receiver Calvin Ridley to personal issues. But Ryan has been a solid option for most of the season with six multi-touchdown passing games and averaging 24 completions for 253 yards per game.

He’s reached 22 or-more completions in six of nine starts this season and SIS analysis projects he’ll throw 37.3 times, completing 24.4 for 268 yards. The odds for the over are set at -110, but we think the real odds should be -249.

 

2) Kendrick Bourne over 33.5 yards, -115.

3) Kendrick Bourne over 2.5 receptions, -180.

The former San Francisco 49ers’ receivers has been a solid contributor in his first season with the Patriots. For the season he’s averaging 4.3 targets, 3.3 receptions and 52 receiving yards per game.

But looking closer at the numbers, after a slow start in the first two contests, he’s averaged 5.3 targets, 3.8 receptions and 61.6 yards. Last weekend he led all Patriots’ receivers in receptions (tied at 4) and yards (98).

The Falcon’s pass defense has been suspect this season, allowing 1,311 yards and 11 touchdowns to opposing wideouts. SIS data projects Bourne will catch 3.7-of-5.2 targets for 48 yards making the over on both receptions and yards excellent plays for Thursday night.

 

Quarterback Passing Yards

————————————

Mac Jones, 251.5 yards, over -115/under -115

Matt Ryan, 251.5 yards, over -115/under -115

 

Quarterback Passing TDs

———————————–

Mac Jones, over 1.5 TDs, -130/under +100

Matt Ryan, over 1.5 TDs, over +125/under -170

 

Quarterback Interceptions

———————————-

Mac Jones, over 0.5, INTs, +120/under -160

Matt Ryan, over 0.5 INTs, -160/under +120

 

Quarterback Completions

———————————-

Mac Jones, over 23.5, +100/under -130

Matt Ryan, over 21.5, -110/under -120

 

Touchdown Scorers

New England –

Rhamondre Stevenson, -115

Damien Harris, -115

Hunter Henry, +120

Jakobi Meyers, +140

Kendrick Bourne, +225

Nelson Agholor, +250

Brandon Bolden, +300

Jonnu Smith, +350

Mac Jones, +600

N’Keal Harry, +750

Atlanta –

Cordarrelle Patterson, +100

Mike Davis, +180

Kyle Pitts, +175

Olamide Zaccheaus, +230

Russell Gage, +275

Wayne Gallman, +300

Matt Ryan, +750

 

Rushing Yards

——————-

New England –

Damien Harris, 57.5, over -115/under -115

Mac Jones, 5.5, over -110/under -120

 

Atlanta –

Matt Ryan, 3.5 yards, over -115/under -115

 

Receiving Yards

———————

New England –

Hunter Henry, 33.5, over -115/under -115

Jakobi Meyers, 55.5, over -115/under -115

Kendrick Bourne, 33.5, over -115/under -115

Nelson Agholor, 35.5, over -115/under -115

 

 

Atlanta –

Kyle Pitts, 65.5, over -115/under -115

Olamide Zaccheaus, 34.5, over -115/under -115

Russell Gage, 41.5, over -115/under -115

 

Receptions

————–

New England –

Hunter Henry, 3.5, over +120/under -160

Jakobi Meyers, 4.5, over -150/under +115

Kendrick Bourne, 2.5, over -180/under +135

Nelson Agholor, 3.5, over +140/under -190

 

Atlanta –

Kyle Pitts, 4.5, over -165/under +120

Olamide Zaccheaus, 2.5, over -140/under +105

Russell Gage, 3.5, over -130/under -105

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