Target Acquired: Cornerbacks allowing the most production
Last week we discussed the fantasy value of looking below the surface for stats that provide an advantage over the competition. Many DFS players are influenced by generic stats like the “opponent position rank” you’ll find on the DraftKings lineup page, but there’s more specific data out there that can provide contest-winning insight.
We started by dissecting fantasy points allowed by offensive position, and this week we’ll dig into a few cornerbacks who are getting picked on by opposing offenses.
Team: Baltimore Ravens
Alignment: Left side of the offense (78%)
- Targeted on a league-high 43 passes.
- Primary defender on 17% of passes against Baltimore.
- Allowed a league-high seven completions of 15+ air yards
- Allowed 67 PPR fantasy points (third-most)
Matchup: Ja’Marr Chase ($6,200 on DK) has lined up on the left side of the offense on 70% of his snaps, which will put him opposite Averett on the majority of his routes this weekend. When on the field, Chase has seen a team-high 25% target share and he leads all receivers with eight deep ball receptions.
Team: New York Jets
Alignment: Left side of the offense (100%)
- Primary defender on 19% of passes against New York (next highest is 12%)
- Allowing 1.6 yards per coverage snap (third-worst)
Matchup: Nelson Agholor has lined up on the left side of the offense on 70% of his snaps, which means he’ll draw the most coverage against Echols on Sunday. Agholor hasn’t provided much fantasy production this season, but at $3,700 on DK, he’s worth consideration if you’re looking for a budget WR.
Team: Miami Dolphins
Alignment: Right side of the offense (73%)
- Primary defender on 16% of passes against Miami
- Allowed a league-high 71 PPR fantasy points
- Allowed a league-high four touchdowns
- Allowing 14.7 yards per reception (10th-highest)
Matchup: It’s shocking for Howard to appear here after finishing third in the Defensive Player of the Year voting in 2020. Howard plays a fair amount on the left side, but it’s reasonable to expect him to primarily shadow Calvin Ridley on Sunday given their lack of other wide receiver options. Many still associate Howard with last season’s dominance and therefore will not consider Ridley for their lineups, making him a contrarian play at a season-low price tag of $6,600 on DK.