Top Prop Odds in Bears vs. Cowboys

By Steve Schwartz

Dallas and Chicago face off Thursday night with identical 6-6 records. However, while the Cowboys lead their division, the Bears are three games behind the Packers and realistically a long shot for any NFC playoff spot down two games to division rival Minnesota.

The following props are evaluated using SISBets.com (registered users get 10 free queries).

Our overall record is 24-15, including 4-0,  3-13-14-0 in four of the last six weeks (we went 0-3 last week). Odds from ParxCasino.com

1) Mitchell Trubisky, under 22.5 completions, -128.

On a cold night, against a Dallas defense that has allowed fewer than 20 completions in three consecutive games, it’s not likely to be a wild shootout. Throw in the loss of wideout Taylor Gabriel (concussion) and the odds become even more favorable for the under. The SIS data says Trubisky produces 20.8 completions and a fair number should be -191.

2) Anthony Miller, over 4.5 receptions, +102.

Miller has seen 33 targets and caught 21 of them over the last three games. Each game he caught at least six balls. He had made himself the clear cut No. 2 option behind Allen Robinson even before Gabriel went down. SIS analysis shows he should see at least eight targets and catch at five balls which puts fair market value at -168, but the line is +102. Take it.

3) Amari Cooper, under 5.5 receptions, -143.

Cooper is still dealing with knee issues, but it’s not bad enough to keep him sidelined. He was solid against Buffalo on Thanksgiving, but did miss time late when the injury acted up. Against the low-scoring Bears the Cowboys don’t figure to be down by 19 points as they were to the Bills, so he likely won’t see double-digit targets again. The emergence of Randall Cobb and Michael Gallup and the steady targets for veterans Jason Witten and Ezekiel Elliott will limit Cooper’s upside. SIS data shows just 6.9 targets and 4.6 completions for a fair price of -218, but we are only paying -143.

Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as FanGraphs and Football Outsiders.

Quarterback Touchdown Passes

Dak Prescott, 1.5, over -125/under 100

Mitchell Trubisky, 1.5, over +115/under -143

—————————————-

Quarterback Interceptions

Dak Prescott, 0.5, over -182/under +145

Mitchell Trubisky, 0.5, over -200/under +160

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Quarterback Completions

Dak Prescott, 23.5 completions, over -108/under -118

Mitchell Trubisky, 22.5 completions, over +100/under -128

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Touchdown Scorers

Dallas:

Ezekiel Elliott -155

Amari Cooper +160

Michael Gallup +250

Dak Prescott +260

Randall Cobb +325

Jason Witten +325

Tony Pollard +550

Blake Jarwin +750

Tavon Austin +850

Chicago:

David Montgomery +105

Allen Robinson +180

Tarik Cohen +200

Anthony Miller +240

Javon Wims +450

Jesper Horsted +700

Cordarrelle Patterson +700

Mitchell Trubisky +700

—————————————-

Total Receptions

Dallas:

Ezekiel Elliott, 3.5, over 110/under -134

Randall Cobb, 3.5, over -134/under 110

Amari Cooper, 5.5, over 120/under -143

Michael Gallup, 3.5, over -167/under 135

Jason Witten, 3.5, over 100/under -125

Chicago:

Allen Robinson 5.5, over -108/under -118

Anthony Miller 4.5, over +102/under -130

Tarik Cohen, 3.5, over -126/under -102

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