Top prop bets for Vikings-Redskins

By Steve Schwartz

The streaking Minnesota Vikings, coming off three wins in a row and averaging 36 ppg over that span, host Washington, who have only one win this season (Miami), and are a huge 15.5-point underdog in this one. Weather will not be a factor in the domed U.S. Bank Stadium.

Here’s a look at some of the top props, using SISBets.com and odds from Parx Casino. You can get 10 free queries on prop percentages by registering.

We are 12-8 in our picks so far after going 4-0 last week.

1) Jeremy Sprinkle, under 2.5 receptions, -124.

Sprinkle is getting playing time because the oft-injured Jordan Reed is hurt again and Vernon Davis is dealing with a concussion and questionable for Week 8. Sprinkle has yet to catch more than two passes in any game this season and the team has a total of 21 receptions from all its tight ends combined or three per game. The Redskins are a run-first offense and our statistics say he should see 2.3 targets and 1.5 receptions. The under should be -423, but it’s just -124.

2) Stefon Diggs, over 5.5 receptions, over +100.

Without Adam Thielen (hamstring), Diggs should see more than his normal target level and since Kirk Cousins has gotten hot over the past three games, he’s averaged 7.7 targets and 5.7 receptions. At +100 the casino has this as an even money bet, but our analysis makes Diggs a -171 favorite, with 9 targets and 6.5 catches.

3) Kirk Cousins, over 21.5 completions, +100.

Apparently they haven’t been paying attention to Cousins over the past four weekends. He has surprassed 21.5 completions in four consecutive games. And now he’s playing his former team, who messed around with his contract, franchising him twice when he really just wanted to leave. Karma is a b****. SIS Bets is predicting 23.8 completions. A fair market value for this prop bet should be -205, but it’s currently at +100.

4) Case Keenum, score a touchdown, +2200.

This one is a bet you only make if you are playing with “house” money. It’s a longshot, but not as long a shot as the casino would have you think. There is about a 10-percent chance according to our numbers that the Washington quarterback will run one in, but we are offered 22-1 odds. Keenum hasn’t rushed for a touchdown this season, but in 16 starts last season for Denver, he did it twice.

Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.

Props list

Quarterback Touchdown Passes

——————————————

Case Keenum, 1.5, over +142/under -180

Kirk Cousins, 1.5, over -124/under +100

 

Quarterback Interceptions

———————————–

Case Keenum, 0.5, over -152/under +122

Kirk Cousins, 0.5, over +119/under -148

 

Quarterback Completions

———————————-

Case Keenum, 19.5 completions, over -124/under +100

Kirk Cousins, 21.5 completions, over +100/under -124

 

 

Touchdown Scorers

————————–

Washington –

Adrian Peterson +225
Wendell Smallwood +225
Terry McLaurin +285
Vernon Davis +500
Paul Richardson +500
Jeremy Sprinkle +500
Trey Quinn +550
Case Keenum +2200

 

Minnesota –

Dalvin Cook -225
Stefon Diggs -121
Olabisi Johnson +180
Kyle Rudolph +200
Alexander Mattison +285
Irv Smith Jr. +325
Laquon Treadwell +550
Kirk Cousins +600
Ameer Abdullah +800

 

Total Receptions

———————-

Washington –

Paul Richardson, 2.5, over +100/under -124

Jeremy Sprinkle, 2.5, over +100/under -124

Trey Quinn, 3.5, over -120/under -105

Terry McLaurin, 4.5, over +108/under -134

 

Minnesota –

Irv Smith Jr., 2.5, over +140/under -177

Kyle Rudolph, 2.5, over -143/under +115

Dalvin Cook, 3.5, over +105/under -130

Olabisi Johnson, 3.5, over -118/under -106

Stefon Diggs, 5.5, over +100/under -124

 

 

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