What are the top props in the Giants-Patriots game?

By Steve Schwartz

Using SISBets.com to evaluate the top prop bets for Thursday’s game between the New York Giants and New England Patriots (odds from ParxCasino.com.)

Register at SISBets.com and receive 10 free queries of our prop evaluation tools. Also, be sure to try SISDataHub.com

 In this Thursday’s game, with the home New England Patriots favored by more than two touchdowns, a number of the prop bets on Patriots players could be affected by the expectation that they could be sitting in the fourth quarter. Therefore, most of the plays will be about the Giants who should be out there for the full 60 minutes.

1) Daniel Jones, over 0.5 TD passes, -240.

Daniel Jones has started three games and completed at least one touchdown pass in every game. And while the Patriots defense has been the best in the league, yielding a league-low 39 points including zero touchdown passes with 11 interceptions, the Giants figure to be playing from behind with a third-string running back and throwing for much of the game. Our data predicts he’ll throw close to 40 passes, and an interception or two, but the SISdata says he should be a -395 favorite to throw one or more touchdown passes and you are only giving -240.

2) Daniel Jones, over 20.5 completions, -105.

Just as Jones should throw 1.6 touchdown passes among his almost 40 attempts, the data shows he should complete 24.0 passes which is well above the required amount to win this prop bet. SISdata made a fair number at -312, but the line is just -105. There will be weather in the area around Gillette Stadium Thursday night and rain shouldn’t effect this one option, but be careful if the winds are gusting above 17-20 mph. If that’s the case you should bypass this play. Many times if teams are throwing into a strong wind they opt for a ground attack leaving the quarterback just two favorable quarters to reach his goal.

3) Jonathan Hilliman, score TD, +325.

If Saquon Barkley and Wayne Gallman are inactive as expected, Jonathan Hilliman will be the starter and workhorse. He should see around 14 rushing attempts and will obviously be the goal line rushing option as well. Our data shows fair market value should be +154, but he’s listed at +325 to score.

4) James White, score TD, +230.

If the weather is questionable as expected, the Pats offense usually goes to the short passing game which means Julian Edelman in the slot and James White out of the backfield. Over the past two games, White has reappeared as part of the offense seeing 19 targets and catching 14 of them. Against Washington in Week 4 he also had a season high six rushing attempts. Both men have favorable numbers, but White’s is slightly better with a chance to score either through the air or on the ground. SISdata analysis puts White at a +154, but the casino is offering a generous +230.

Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.

Quarterback Touchdown Passes

——————————————

Daniel Jones, 0.5, over -240/under +185

Tom Brady, 1.5, over -275/under +210

Quarterback Interceptions

———————————–

Daniel Jones, 0.5, over -250/under +194

Tom Brady, 0.5, over +129/under -162

Quarterback Completions

———————————-

Daniel Jones, 20.5 completions, over -105/under -120

Tom Brady, 24.5 completions, over +117/under -148

Touchdown Scorers

————————–

New York –

Golden Tate, +300

Jonathan Hilliman, +325

Rhett Ellison, +550

Darius Slayton, +450

Elijhaa Penny, +500

Daniel Jones, +600

Cody Latimer, +800

New England –

Sony Michel, -162

James White, +230

Julian Edelman, +135

Josh Gordon, +150

Red Burkhead, +210

Phillip Dorsett, +225

Jacoby Meyers, +275

Brandon Bolden, +350

Matt LaCosse, +475

Ryan Izzo, +550

Tom Brady, +900

Total Receptions

———————-

New York –

Golden Tate, 5.5, over +128/under -159

Darius Slayton, 3.5, over +103/under -129

New England –

Julian Edelman, 5.5, -148/under +118

Josh Gordon, 3.5, over -152/under +122

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