SIS NFL Preview Week 4

At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS DataHub Pro.

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills – 9/29 1:00 ET

Kendall Mirsky, SIS Football Video Scout:

Throughout the early portion of the season the Patriots have done their fair share of mixing and matching up front in the trenches. The Bills pass rush will need to continue their success this week against a team that has very few deficiencies, if any at all. Specifically key in on Marshall Newhouse’s performance this week, as he now he finds himself starting at LT for the Patriots. If the Bills want to have success this week look for them to exploit Newhouse with the pass rushing skills of Shaq Lawson, Jerry Hughes, and Lorenzo Alexander.

Bills Top Pass Rushers (Weeks 1-3)

PlayerPass RushesPressure%
Jerry Hughes8313.3%
Lorenzo Alexander4710.6%
Shaq Lawson3810.5%

 

Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans – 9/29 1:00 ET

Britton Mann, SIS Football Video Scout:

The most important task for the Panthers offense this weekend is to establish the run game. Christian McCaffrey had a team high 153 rushing yards last weekend which helped open up the passing game for Allen. So far this year the Texans have given up an average of 108 rushing yards per game, which lands them as the 15th best run defense this year. With the Panthers starting their backup quarterback, they’ll need to lean on McCaffrey and his explosive running style in order to beat the Texans on Sunday.

Christian McCaffrey vs. the Texans Run Defense

 AttYds/AttBroken Tackle%Points Earned (Rushing Plays)
Christian McCaffrey (Week 3)246.417%2.4
RBs vs. Texans Defense485.225%4.9

 

Tennessee Titans @ Atlanta Falcons – 9/29 1:00 ET

Sales Pinckney, SIS Football Video Scout:

Early on, Matt Ryan ranks among the top 5 QB’s in Completions, Completion Percentage, Yards, and Passing TD’s. He also ranks first in interceptions out of all QBs. Several potential scoring drives have ended due to an interception, which has often led to points on the other end. This has served as a hindrance to the early season efforts of Julio Jones, who has caught 4 TD passes through the first three weeks. Avoiding turnovers will be key this week as the Falcons take on the Titans, who rank second in turnover margin, and third in interceptions, after three weeks.

Matt Ryan’s Red Zone Performance by Year

 AttemptsINT%Points Earned (Passing Plays)
2016961.0%17.3
2017752.7%2.5
2018771.3%8.3
20191414.3%-2.9

 

Oakland Raiders @ Indianapolis Colts – 9/29 1:00 ET

Cyril Zachary Penn, SIS Football Video Scout:

Gareon Conley needs to get back on track for the Raiders to find a semblance of defensive success. Conley looked great last season, giving up 21 catches on 42 targets, while surrendering a league-low 59% deserved catch rate among defenders targeted over 20 times. This year, he’s given up 11 catches on 13 targets and is allowing the second-most yards per target of any corner that has seen at least 10 targets . With limited pass rushers and an injury-riddled linebacker unit, the Raiders will continue giving up points in bunches if Conley doesn’t find his 2018 form.

Gareon Conley’s Performance 2018 vs. 2019

 TargetsDeserved Catch%Yds/TargetPoints Saved (Passing Plays)
20174256%9.59
20181385%14.3-10.4

 

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants – 9/29 1:00 ET

Andrew McKeon, SIS Football Video Scout:

Even though Saquon Barkley is gone for the foreseeable future, do not expect the playbook to shrink this week. Expect the opposite, actually. Daniel Jones’ debut should have created a lot of confidence for Pat Shurmur to really air it out in Barkley’s absence, especially against a typically stout Redskins front seven. Additionally, Josh Norman and the rest of the Redskins secondary has generally struggled to cover receivers so far this season, so depending on game flow, expect Shurmur to cut Jones loose this week.

Daniel Jones (Week 3) vs Redskins Top 2 Cornerbacks (Weeks 1-3)

 AttCatchable%IQRPoints Earned (Passing Plays)
Daniel Jones3681%112.87.4
     
 TargetsDeserved Catch%QBR AgainstPoints Saved (Passing Plays)
Josh Norman1987%119.9-4.5
Quinton Dunbar11100%89.90.7

 

Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints – 9/29 8:20 ET

Cole Ratliff, SIS Operations Associate:

As the Cowboys face a tough test vs the Saints this week, the key will be the defense stopping Alvin Kamara.  A key to help stop Kamara will be gap control across the line of scrimmage to prevent cutback lanes so Kamara has no opening to run through.

Alvin Kamara vs. the Cowboys Run Defense

 AttYds/AttBroken Tkl%Points Earned (Rushing Plays)
Alvin Kamara425.031%4.5
RB’s vs. Cowboys Defense (Weeks 1-3)415.017%1.7

The Cowboys offense has been an equal balance through three games in both the run and pass game, including both Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard each rushing for over 100 yards vs Miami.  A key to the Cowboys offensive success has been Dak Prescott and his improvement in getting the ball out of his hands quickly and distributing the ball to his playmakers.

Will Osgood, SIS Football Video Scout:

Playing a team with a mobile quarterback for the third time in four weeks means Marcus Davenport gets to show one more time how athletic and versatile he is. He’ll again be the key to keeping the quarterback (this time Dak Prescott) from making plays outside the pocket. And with the Cowboys being a heavy play action team he will have to be smart with when he aggressively pursues the quarterback and when he chooses to maintain his gap against the run.

Marcus Davenport (Weeks 1-3)

PlayerPass RushesPressure%Points Saved (Passing Plays)Points Saved (Rushing Plays)
Marcus Davenport6512%2.51.4

 

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